Massachusetts Senate race

Washington conventional wisdom is so thick that you can usually feel it. On this gray morning, the overwhelming consensus of the punditocracy and the political class is that Republican Scott Brown will defeat Democrat Martha Coakley in Massachusetts today, and the roof will cave in on President Obama.

Partly because I don’t like conventional wisdom, I am inclined to point out that the final polls in Massachusetts were in conflict. If the close ones are to be believed, Coakley still has a fighting chance to win -- especially if all the hype about the resources Democrats have thrown into the state for Get-Out-The-Vote activities is true. (And it’s probably close to true.)